RESEARCH / Focused target
Mathar's recurrence for the lattice-path returns A068551
RELEASED FOUNDATIONS / PROPOSED CONNECTION
Research connections
All source anchors (1)
- D5/S3/Combinatorics/LatticeReturnsRecurrence.resultAbsent from this graph
Problem
The question
OEIS A068551 is a(n) = 4^n − C(2n, n); by a comment of G. Critzer it counts
the returns to the axis in all ±1 lattice paths (random-walk bridges) from the
origin to (2n, 0). Its formula field records:
Conjecture: na(n) + 2(3-4n)a(n-1) + 8(2n-3)*a(n-2) = 0. - R. J. Mathar, Apr 01 2012
Issue #10754 fixes the reading: a is the entry's name, the recurrence is
asserted for every n ≥ 2 and read in ℤ.
Motivation
Our foothold
The entry still marks the recurrence as a conjecture (revision 88,
2026-05-30). D5/S3/Combinatorics/LatticeReturnsRecurrence.result proves it
for every n ≥ 2.
Gap
Missing bridges
Issue #10754 preregisters the proof route and the literature check; the
entry's history records no proof, and the papers proving batches of Mathar's
conjectures do not treat A068551. not-found-in-searched-scope.
Route
Proposed approach
u(n) = C(2n, n)satisfiesn u(n) = 2(2n − 1) u(n − 1)andv(n) = 4^nsatisfiesv(n) = 4 v(n − 1).- For
a = v − uthe recurrence expression is−R₀ + 4R₁ + nS₀ − 2(2n − 3)S₁, a combination of those relations atnandn − 1.
Falsifier
What would falsify this route
The proof would fail if the combination of step 2 did not reproduce the
recurrence expression for some n ≥ 2.
Evidence
Evidence to collect
Exact integer computation: the closed form reproduces the 24 data terms, the
recurrence holds for n = 2, …, 400, and replacing the leading coefficient
n by n + 1 fails for every such n (issue #10754).
The canonical source is D5/S3/Combinatorics/LatticeReturnsRecurrence.lean.
Its public declarations are a, claim, and result. The frozen module
state has statement identity
sha256:63efba9e1d55b1e20c1d930cdcd7008a7c1b6a587aaf24b35dc5eec7d9944856.
The result declaration has statement identity
sha256:31cdb3f2429ee9bac33c93f979e5d7723e2f300ce1075473d39c41dedf3a1ef2.
The Freeze event is
sha256:b830b988010f2a68b8f01b75f6a91cf46bb7ef7bd828d2f77dfcb09385d0f543.
It has no project-level frozen prerequisite. The proof uses only the standard
axioms propext, Classical.choice and Quot.sound; no sorry,
native_decide, or new axiom.
Triage
Scope assessment
Tier 1 external named conjecture (OEIS formula field), preregistered in issue
#10754 before the probe. theorem; resolution proved. The public theorem
has proof_shape: bind-only: every atomic fact is an instance of a pinned
Mathlib lemma (the central binomial recurrence and pow_succ), combined by
linear arithmetic. The settlement of the named conjecture is the new content,
so the admission basis is open-problem-resolution; utility none.
ASSUMED-UNVERIFIED
Unverified assumptions
The bounded literature check does not establish exhaustive worldwide novelty, priority, or the absence of an independent proof.